LINZ, AUSTRIA - AUGUST 25: (L-R) Celtic interim chairman Brian Wilson, majority shareholder Dermot Desmond and chief executive Michael Nicholson during a UEFA Champions League Play-Off Round Second Leg match between LASK and Celtic at Oberosterreich Arena, on August 25, 2026, in Linz, Austria. (Photo by Craig Williamson/SNS Group via Getty Images)
There will be people looking at Celtic’s latest accounts and pointing towards falling revenues as justification for Celtic becoming more conservative.
For me, that completely misses the point.
Of course the revenues are falling.
Celtic went from a Champions League campaign in 2024/25 which produced 12 points and a knockout tie against Bayern Munich to playing Europa League football last season.
Celtic themselves acknowledged in February that the resulting reduction in UEFA media rights and ticket income was the primary reason first-half revenue fell from £83.5million to £59.4million.
That isn’t the surprise.
The concern is that this could just be the beginning.
The Champions League Bill Is Arriving.
Don’t treat the competition that obsesses the best players and the best clubs with the respect it deserves, find out.
For years I’ve criticised Celtic’s approach to Champions League qualification.
Eight failures in our last ten qualifying campaigns when we’ve actually had to qualify tells its own story.
Different managers, different players, different opponents.
Same football club.
This season represented Celtic’s last favourable route for the foreseeable future. Win one two-legged play-off and we were at European football’s big table.
We couldn’t do it.
And because Scotland finished 18th in the relevant UEFA country ranking, that privilege now disappears. Whoever wins this season’s Premiership will enter next season’s Champions League in the second qualifying round.
That potentially means navigating three two-legged qualifying ties just to reach the league phase.
Considering Celtic have failed eight of their last ten Champions League qualifying campaigns, you can probably understand why that doesn’t fill me with confidence.
What If Celtic Don’t Win The League?
Here’s where it becomes genuinely frightening.
Finish second this season and Celtic won’t enter Champions League qualifying at all.
Scotland’s runners-up will instead enter the Conference League second qualifying round.
Think about that.
Celtic could conceivably go from playing Bayern Munich in a Champions League knockout tie in February 2025 to attempting to navigate Conference League qualifiers two-and-a-half years later.
And given our qualifying record, European football itself couldn’t simply be taken for granted.
That’s how quickly this can unravel.
Don’t Tell Me Celtic Couldn’t Afford To Spend.
That’s why I won’t accept these accounts being used as an excuse for Celtic’s failure to properly prepare for Europe.
This isn’t a club that suddenly found itself penniless.
Celtic had £67.4million sitting in cash halfway through the financial year, even after missing the Champions League, while player trading still generated substantial profits.
The problem isn’t simply money disappearing.
It’s Celtic continually jeopardising the greatest source of additional revenue available to a Scottish football club.
You cannot repeatedly fail to adequately prepare squads for Champions League qualification and then point towards the resulting reduction in Champions League revenue as justification for becoming even more cautious.
That’s a vicious circle entirely of your own making.
Miss the Champions League.
Lose the revenue.
Become more conservative.
Prepare inadequately for the next qualifiers.
Miss it again.
Then repeat.
This Is Bigger Than Martin O’Neill.
Martin O’Neill can be criticised for what we’re watching right now. Brendan Rodgers could be criticised. Ange Postecoglou could be criticised. Neil Lennon could be criticised.
But eventually the common denominator matters.
Eight failures from ten Champions League qualifying campaigns isn’t one manager having a bad night.
It’s institutional.
I am embarrassed for them.
Worse still, the opportunity is now becoming more difficult.
This year’s accounts contain the financial consequences of missing last season’s Champions League. They don’t contain the full consequences of what happened against LASK this summer.
That bill is still coming.
And unless Celtic finally understand that calculated investment designed to reach the Champions League is not reckless spending but potentially the most important protection of their own business model, the numbers could get uglier yet.
Celtic have spent years worrying about protecting the money.
Maybe somebody should have worried about protecting the competition that helped generate it.
Keep Your Eyes On The Board.